Tuesday, 27 January 2009

So, Al-Shabaab Took Over Baidowa Hours after Ethiopia left

This is what happens when a legitimacy of a government is not based on the people its supposed to govern. After two bloody years somalia is back to square one. In fact, now it seems more fragile as the conflict boosted Al-shabaab group which is not ready to reconcile with othes.

The parliament is gathering in Jibouti to double the number of seats so that the moderate but powerless islamists and notionalits could join them. They are still arguing on it but today even their seat is in the hands of an enemy? It is intresting , however, will the Somali parliament will be imposrted again after rooting out Al-shabaab? Who knows , again the Al-shabaab may break break up to moderate and hardliner, and again double the seat of teh parliamnet to let them join the parliament?? The biggest and weakest parliament of the world?

Perhaps the Somalis had enough of war and conflict. This time negotiation should be the only way out. The elders, civil society should be given an apportunity so that they could talk with Al-shabaab. Interferance would only embolden Al-shabaab and the Somalis should be given a chance to judge by themselves.

Wednesday, 14 January 2009

A Museum for Gaza Children, learn what their dream was

Here you can get hundreds of the names and the dreams of the chidlren sloughterd by the Israeli machinery.

You can leave a comment of sympathy .

Tuesday, 13 January 2009

Bye bye neocons

With less than one week left, BBC asks if this is the end of Neocons

With the Bush Administration about to recede into history, a widely asked question is whether the neoconservative philosophy that underpinned its major foreign policy decisions will likewise vanish from the scene.
The answer seems likely to be Yes.
___________

This is a good news to Ethiopia? and Africa in general , where the neocons just started to take root and militarize. Their danger is rooted , in their perception of the world as black and white/with us or against us and in their less tolerance toward others.

What is next in Somalia

Today there is a news that Ethiopian forces are leaving. Yusuf is gone, as expected after Ethiopia withdrew its support after long time of support to ths war lord. To be honest, Ethiopia`s mission accomplished is nothing but just like that of Bush in Iraq. If there is anything that it has succeeded during the two year of occupation, it would segregate the ICU into fragile moderate part and the more hard liner Al-shabab.

Ethiopia is frustrated due to lack of sufficient response from the west.It d understands that it would get more difficult under Obama what could not be materialized under hawkish Bush whom his legacy appears to be linked with war on terror and wall street crisis. Thus the official interference should have to end as it is costy and the end of the the tunnel is in no way closer than it was.

So what? It would be vain to assume that the neighbour Ethiopia would let aside Somalia issue once and for all. Somalia is likely to turn to the status of que, with the revival of ex-warlords and with more players. Ethiopia may play among the rivals groups to its interest. Al-shabab may not have the legitimacy it had after the pull out among teh general public. Shaikh Sharif wing is likely to be more popular among the general Somali public but if their alliance with government goes well beyond the necessary level, it may play into the hands of Al-shabab. Somalis have a very good chance to settle their differences and get out of the chaos. But with no doubt Al-shabaab would remain to be the main obstacle, and the fact that US black listed it makes a deal with it quite difficult. War is not the solution and Al-shabab should be urged to come to teh table.

Monday, 15 December 2008

somalia: Farewell Abdullahi Yusuf

from Aljazeera
it is Somalai being teared apart by civil war, pirates, hunger and foreign interference

Change is coming to somalia, and a substantial since the TFG came to power. Abdullahi Yusuf , a former warlord and the TFG president is finally got himslef alone. He used to see off, and his voice used to be the most weightfull one but this time he is apparently to be seen off. Actually the powerfull voice was not his, from the first place but that of Ethiopia. Now Ethiopia abandoned him and he is trying if his voice would be as effective as it was when he dismissal of PM AGedi.

It is simple and there is o need to write long article and deep analysis of why Ethiopia is turning its back this time. Ethiopia can't be engaged in endless war as it has limited resources ad the international community are reluctant and not convinced to interfere or even the cost. All they do care is the making safe the sea corridor. It is two years since Ethiopia got itself into the Somalia circle of war ad peace is not anyway closer and the TFG is more fragile.

Solution for Somalia can come only and only from inside. let us hope that the coming change would be a positive one the Somalis would reconcile among themselves. However nobody knows for sure if the Al-shabab which appear to be stronger than ever would heed and listen Sh Sharif , who is handling things with a cool head and determination thuogh many among those who are fighting rebelled against him.

Monday, 2 June 2008

Samalia: Cartoon

Somalia ,reads the Arabic( Aljazeera. )